Analysis: There’s Likely Only $3.5b Locked in Ethereum DeFi, Not $6b

When analysts try and gauge the success of Ethereum’s decentralized finance projects, they often look to the “total value locked” metric.

Just today, the metric, up around 1,000% since the start of 2020, surpassed $6 billion for the first time ever. Many Ethereum bulls hailed the achievement of this milestone as a testament to the success of ETH and its applications.

But according to a new analysis by an Ethereum-focused investor and developer, the $6 billion figure is a misnomer. Here’s why.

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There May Only Be $3.5 Billion Locked in Ethereum’s DeFi Space

According to an analysis by Damir Bandalo, a founder of Encode Club and an investor through a number of investor collaboratives, there isn’t $6 billion locked in DeFi.

The issue, he explained, is that the data tracker that exist report values that are counted more than once.

“As we know DeFi is all about composability but that makes it hard to accurately count how much money is truly locked in the system. It gets very easy to count the same $ multiple times. Let me give an example: Let’s say you deposit ETH into  @MakerDAO and mint DAI. Take that DAI and go to  @CurveFinance and put it into ycurve. Your $ can actually be counted 5 times.”

By his calculations, which were accomplished by removing the double-counting errors, he found that there’s only $3.5 billion worth of value locked in DeFi.

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It’s a Metric Still Growing

Ethereum’s DeFi space is still growing and set to grow even further, though, according to analysts.

Andrew Kang, the founder of Mechanism Capital, released a Twitter thread on the matter at the start of July. It suggests that due to development, market, and other trends, DeFi is just starting.